نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
عنوان مقاله English
نویسندگان English
Various policies have been adopted in Iran to support the agricultural sector, and their evaluation has important policy implications. This research examines how these policies are affected by macroeconomic policies, especially exchange rate policy. In Iran, various exchange rate policies have been implemented, which has resulted in the misalignment of the real exchange rate from its equilibrium value. In this research, the effects of the exchange rate misalignment on the indicators of support for producers and consumers of pistachio crop in order to analyze the government's support plans for the agricultural sector in the first to sixth economic development plans. To calculate the exchange rate misalignment, first, the equilibrium exchange rate was estimated using the vector error correction model (VECM) and the real exchange rate was calculated based on the theory of purchasing power parity. Then the effects of exchange rate misalignment on pistachio crop support values were investigated. The findings of the research show in no year has the real exchange rate been on the path of balance, and the application of different exchange rate policies has caused it to be overvalued in some years and undervalued in other years. Other results of the research showed that the policies of Iran's agricultural sector, based on the real exchange rate and its equilibrium value in supporting producers through the pricing of agricultural inputs and outputs and the regulation of exchange rate policies, have been unsuccessful. The interests of pistachio consumers have been taken into account instead of the interests of producers, leading to suppressed led to prices and hidden taxes in from producers. However, the period under review has been accompanied by social pressure from the activists of the agricultural sector, sectoral and exchange rate policies with the aim of reducing hidden taxes from farmers. According to the findings of the research, it has been suggested to review the way of applying the specific policies of the agricultural sector and to improve the support of the beneficiaries of this sector, estimating the support of the government's agricultural sector, the equilibrium exchange rate that shows Iran's long-term balance and competitiveness should be considered and put on the agenda of policy-makers.
کلیدواژهها English